David Rothschild
David Rothschild
Microsoft Research
確認したメール アドレス: researchdmr.com - ホームページ
タイトル
引用先
引用先
The science of fake news
DMJ Lazer, MA Baum, Y Benkler, AJ Berinsky, KM Greenhill, F Menczer, ...
Science 359 (6380), 1094-1096, 2018
7502018
Forecasting elections with non-representative polls
W Wang, D Rothschild, S Goel, A Gelman
International Journal of Forecasting 31 (3), 980-991, 2015
2602015
Forecasting elections: Comparing prediction markets, polls, and their biases
D Rothschild
Public Opinion Quarterly 73 (5), 895-916, 2009
1142009
Lay understanding of probability distributions.
DG Goldstein, D Rothschild
Judgment & Decision Making 9 (1), 2014
762014
Forecasting elections: Voter intentions versus expectations
D Rothschild, J Wolfers
Available at SSRN 1884644, 2011
652011
Are public opinion polls self-fulfilling prophecies?
D Rothschild, N Malhotra
Research & Politics 1 (2), 2053168014547667, 2014
642014
The mythical swing voter
A Gelman, S Goel, D Rivers, D Rothschild
Quarterly Journal of Political Science 11 (1), 103-130, 2016
612016
Online and social media data as an imperfect continuous panel survey
F Diaz, M Gamon, JM Hofman, E Kıcıman, D Rothschild
PloS one 11 (1), 2016
612016
Combining forecasts for elections: Accurate, relevant, and timely
D Rothschild
International Journal of Forecasting 31 (3), 952-964, 2015
322015
Trading strategies and market microstructure: Evidence from a prediction market
DM Rothschild, R Sethi
The Journal of Prediction Markets 10 (1), 1-29, 2016
302016
Disentangling bias and variance in election polls
H Shirani-Mehr, D Rothschild, S Goel, A Gelman
Journal of the American Statistical Association 113 (522), 607-614, 2018
282018
Fundamental models for forecasting elections at the state level
P Hummel, D Rothschild
Electoral studies 35, 123-139, 2014
28*2014
Non-representative surveys: Fast, cheap, and mostly accurate
S Goel, A Obeng, D Rothschild
Working Paper, 2015
262015
Don’t blame the election on fake news. Blame it on the media
DJ Watts, DM Rothschild
Columbia Journalism Review 5, 2017
202017
One person, one vote: Estimating the prevalence of double voting in US presidential elections
S Goel, M Meredith, M Morse, D Rothschild, H Shirani-Mehr
Unpublished working paper. URL: https://www. dropbox. com/s/bbzgpeo1rh1s7dy …, 2017
142017
A combinatorial prediction market for the US elections
M Dudik, S Lahaie, DM Pennock, D Rothschild
Proceedings of the fourteenth ACM conference on Electronic commerce, 341-358, 2013
13*2013
High-frequency polling with non-representative data
A Gelman, S Goel, D Rothschild, W Wang
Political Communication in Real Time, 117-133, 2016
112016
Market manipulation muddies election outlook
D Rothschild, J Wolfers
Derived from, 2008
112008
A COMPARISON OF FORECASTING METHODS: FUNDAMENTALS, POLLING, PREDICTION MARKETS, AND EXPERTS.
D Pathak, D Rothschild, M Dudik
Journal of Prediction Markets 9 (2), 2015
92015
President Trump stress disorder: partisanship, ethnicity, and expressive reporting of mental distress after the 2016 election
M Krupenkin, D Rothschild, S Hill, E Yom-Tov
Sage open 9 (1), 2158244019830865, 2019
82019
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